{"id":4803,"date":"2014-08-26T07:00:43","date_gmt":"2014-08-26T15:00:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/formtek.com\/blog\/?p=4803"},"modified":"2014-08-04T07:17:29","modified_gmt":"2014-08-04T15:17:29","slug":"big-data-insights-into-crowd-thinking-and-cashing-in-on-the-stock-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/formtek.com\/blog\/big-data-insights-into-crowd-thinking-and-cashing-in-on-the-stock-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Big Data: Insights into Crowd Thinking and Cashing in on the Stock Market"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a title=\"Warwick School on Predicting behavior based on google trends\" href=\"http:\/\/www2.warwick.ac.uk\/newsandevents\/pressreleases\/google_searches_hold\/\" target=\"_blank\">Researchers at the Warwick Business School<\/a> have found a connection between search engine trends and real life decision making. \u00a0The results are similar to earlier research that tries to predict the <a title=\"Flu trends\" href=\"http:\/\/www.google.org\/flutrends\/us\/#US\" target=\"_blank\">scale of the outbreak of the flu<\/a>\u00a0or the <a title=\"Popularity of film at the box office via google\" href=\"http:\/\/www.smh.com.au\/technology\/technology-news\/how-google-search-trends-could-predict-the-next-stock-market-crash-20140804-zyl3u.html\" target=\"_blank\">popularity of a new film<\/a> at the box office using search engine keyword trend information. \u00a0The researchers claim that analysis of search trends can offer insight into &#8220;a range of real-world events.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><a title=\"Chester Curme bio\" href=\"www.linkedin.com\/pub\/chester-curme\/43\/a48\/467\" target=\"_blank\">Chester Curme<\/a>, Research Fellow at Warwick Business School, said that\u00a0&#8220;search engines, such as Google, record almost everything we search for. \u00a0Records of these search queries allow us to learn about how people gather information online before making decisions in the real world. So there&#8217;s potential to use these search data to anticipate what large groups of people may do.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The research suggests that by tracking the search activity relative to some topics in business and politics that the rise and fall of the stock market could be predicted. \u00a0Searches related to music and weather seemed were found to have no correlation with stock prices.<\/p>\n<p><a title=\"Suzie Moat bio\" href=\"uk.linkedin.com\/in\/suzymoat\" target=\"_blank\">Suzie Moat<\/a>, an assistant professor of behavioral science at Warwick Business School, said that\u00a0&#8220;the data we gather from Google gives us unprecedented insight into information large numbers of people are gathering. \u00a0Our study provides evidence that this information-gathering data can help us develop forecasts of actions people subsequently take in the real world&#8230; \u00a0Increases in searches relating to both politics and business could be a sign of concern about the state of the 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