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Cloud Computing: Power of Two Advances in Computing and the Cloud are Reshaping the IT Cartel
Just six months ago. former CIO Vivek Kundra commented that the government can “no longer afford to be held hostage by the global IT cartel — a powerful group of private contractors that encourage reliance on inefficient software and hardware that is expensive to acquire and to maintain.” The solution? Kundra proposed that the government needs to streamline, shrink data centers, and as much as possible, adopt cloud computing alternatives.
But as industry and government flee one IT cartel, they are adopting cloud services that are likely to be controlled by a new cartel, one that will likely include some new faces but will also include many of the bigger players from the previous generation of IT cartel members. At least that’s what Phil Murphy of Forrester Research is warning. And the prediction is that this flip from old-world computing to new-world cloud computing will happen much more quickly than many expect.
Forrester thinks that by the end of this decade there will have been massive changes in the nature of computing. Moore’s power of two law predicts that digital storage and computing capacities double every eighteen months, and if Moore’s law continues to hold, we can expect dramatic changes in the world of computers over the coming years. Forrester says, for example, that we can expect hand-held computers with IBM-Watson-type capabilities to be commonplace by 2020.
Forrester’s Murphy said that “The industry of 2020 is software-fuelled, cartel-enabled analytics against big data. Drawing insight from consumer and other data will become the mainstay of firms such as Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and a host of other social and consumer-oriented companies. Cartel partners will join forces: Big technology vendors will provide processing, analytical capabilities, and global reach, while credit-card processing, logistics, and social firms will provide transaction data, logistical supply, and consumer demand and consumption.”
Forrester identifies different categories of computing cartels that are expected to dominate the IT landscape in the future. These companies include Amazon, Cisco Systems, Google, I.B.M., Microsoft, and Oracle. The computer world in 2020 will be one driven by ease of use and low cost computing and maintenance. The Forrester report says that “Consumer and other data will become the mainstay of firms such as Amazon, Google, Microsoft. Big technology vendors will provide processing, analytical capabilities and global reach, while credit-card processing, logistics and social firms will provide transaction data, logistical supply and consumer demand and consumption.”
